Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction 12 May 2024

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Valencia still find themselves challenging for a place to qualify for an European competition, with four matches left to the end of the La Liga season. However, they have five points to close in on in-form Real Betis, who occupy the 7th position, and which is considered ‘big’, given the number of matches left. Rayo Vallecano is fighting against relegation, but they are technically going to avoid getting dropped to the lower division. Thanks to the importance of the game, Valencia are the favourites to win the game at the “Mestalla”.

Losses

Valencia will continue to be without Diahabi, who has already missed two months. He was joined by Vasquez and Domenech, who were injured last time out. But Valencia have two key players, Gaya and Perez, who are close to making full recovery.

Rayo Vallecano will be without only one player, Mendes, who suffered the injury back in January. And it's a good thing he isn't a regular starter for Rayo.

Head-to-head meetings

Valencia have the advantage in their head-to-head meetings with Rayo Vallecano. However, half of the encounters ended as draws. Furthermore, Rayo Vallecano did not win away in their last 5 head-to-head matches against Valencia. Therefore, it is reasonable to bet on Valencia to win or draw. It is obvious that their meetings do not really produce many goals, as over 1.5 goals were scored in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head La Liga matches, including their last encounter that ended in a tight 1-0 win tor Valencia away from home.

Trends

Valencia scored in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings against Rayo Vallecano.
Rayo Vallecano conceded in the 2nd half in their last 4 La Liga matches against Valencia.

Referee and fouls

The match will be officiated by Juan Luis Pulido Santana. In the last 10 matches, he recorded an average of 27.4 fouls, while the number of yellow cards was off the scale - 5.7. During the season, the referee had quite comparable figures - 27.45 fouls and 5.4 yellow cards per game respectively.

Valencia fouled 11.7 times on average, but it looked like the majority of their fouls were light, since the team received only 1.4 yellow cards on average.

Rayo Vallecano foul much more often and are one of the teams with the most fouls in La Liga, as they average 14.3 per game. It is not surprising that the team has almost twice as many yellow cards - 2.6.

Having considered the statistics of the referee, it can be assumed that Rayo Vallecano, who has more fouls and warnings for the season, may suffer more. In such a situation, we offer a bet on Rayo Vallecano total yellow cards; over (2.5).

Corners

Both Valencia and Rayo Vallecano combined to produce over 7.5 corners in their last 7 La Liga meetings.
Rayo Vallecano took over 3.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 La Liga matches against Valencia.

Valencia in the entire season serve on average less than five corners. At the same time, Rayo Vallecano has an advantage of 4.7 versus 4.1. Taking into account trends, you should consider betting on Valencia total corners; under (5.5).

Team Reviews

Valencia have suffered three consecutive defeats in La Liga, two of them at home. In the last round, the team played without Mamardashvili in goal, who was disqualified. The second goalkeeper was sent off during the match against Alaves. As a result, the team failed to score, which became a trend - the bats scored less than 1.5 goals in 7 of the last 8 La Liga matches. Valencia Total goal; under (1.5) looks like a reliable bet for this encounter.

Rayo Vallecano have performed poorly this season, even at their own field, and that's as a result of their bad attack. They scored in just two of the last seven matches, and won in both matches — surprisingly. As a result, Rayo have not scored on the road in 4 consecutive matches in La Liga. It makes sense to consider the option in which Rayo Vallecano does not score.

Editorial prediction

The standings oblige Rayo Vallecano to play at least for a draw. However, Valencia may lead at some point, especially after a series of setbacks. Therefore, it is worth recalling the corner statistics in head-to-head matches, according to which Rayo served more than 3.5 corners in 6 out of 7 meetings with Valencia. Therefore, the Rayo Vallecano total corners; over more (3.5) - is our key bet.

*below the page you will find detailed statistics of the playing teams and trends in many other markets