Real Madrid vs Alaves Prediction 14 May 2024

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Match Preview

Real Madrid host Alaves as the champions of the 2023-2024 La Liga season, having won the competition two weekends ago with a 3-0 win over Cadiz. So it explains why Carlo Ancelotti has played the last two matches with reserves. Alaves is stuck in the middle of the standings, having also achieved the task for the season by avoiding relegation probably. In such a situation, the meeting at the Santiago Bernabeu can take on a friendly character, although the hosts still remain clear favorites.

Losses

Real Madrid will be without some key players due to injury concerns. Alaba, who has been injured for a long time, and Tchuameni, who recently succumbed to an injury and missed last weekend’s trip to Granada as a result, are both ruled out of the game against Alaves.

The visitors are preparing for the match almost in full force. Only Sedlar, who was injured last year, will sit this game out.

Head-to-head meetings

According to head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid have an overwhelming advantage, with 80 percent of wins. Both teams have already met this season in La Liga, and it was Real, who secured a tight 1-0 win away from home. The Whites won in 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches against Alaves. Therefore, it is increasingly likely that Real Madrid will win this time as well.

At the same time, their encounters do not always produce loads of goals, which was evident in the first round. Real Madrid and Alaves produced under 3.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head La Liga matches at Santiago Bernabeu.

Trends

Under 3.5 goals occurred in 12 of Alaves' last 13 away matches.
Real Madrid scored in the 2nd half at home in 11 of the last 12 matches in La Liga.
Alaves conceded in both halves on the road in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches against Real Madrid.

Fouls

Real Madrid foul an average of 9.8 times per La Liga game. But they often suffer more fouls from the opponents - 14.5 per game. With such a number of fouls, 1.7 yellow cards is a normal indicator.

Alaves often commit more fouls - 12.7 per game, which is comparable to the fouls they suffer from by the opponents. Unsurprisingly, they get more yellow cards - 2.1.

Alaves’ last eight matches produced more than 3.5 yellow cards. At the same time, Real Madrid received less than 2.5 yellow cards in 6 of their last 7 home matches. This indicates the Yellow Card bet - Alaves Total is over (1.5), which is only confirmed by the statistics for this season.

Corners

Alaves have taken more than 3.5 corners in 5 consecutive away matches in La Liga.
Real Madrid recorded a total of more than 9.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 home matches.

Each team has an average of more than five corners per season. Considering the current trends, we note a bet on a Total Corners; over 9.5.

Team Reviews

Real Madrid are the champions of Spain and are also in the Champions League final. At the same time, they experienced huge injury problems during the season. Some players lost their place in the starting lineup as a result, and are only getting in shape for now. For example, Courtois played two league matches and did not concede a single goal. At the same time, Alaves are an easy opponent for Real Madrid to handle, who have won 9 of their last 10 home matches, with a difference of at least two goals. Therefore, it is worth considering betting on the Real Madrid Handicap (-1.5).

Alaves had a three-game losing streak in the spring. However, it was replaced by three straight wins. But last weekend, the team held Girona to an entertaining 2-2 draw at home. However, in the seven head-to-head meetings that took place in Madrid, they excelled in only one. We won't be surprised if Alaves doesn't score against the new La Liga champions.

Editorial prediction

Courtois missed almost the entire season due to injury. But after he returned to the gate, he turned out to be just as reliable. At the same time, the reservists entering the field have a high class, with club legend Modric, likely to start, as he has clearly not played enough this season. Alaves is an opponent whom Real Madrid regularly defeat with a difference of at least two goals (in 9 out of 10 matches). Therefore, let's focus on the Real Madrid Handicap (-1.5).

*below the page you will find detailed statistics of the playing teams and trends in many other markets