Surface:

Red clay

Round:

Quarterfinal

15.05.24

11:00

WTA - 13

Ended

WTA - 2

Review

Prediction

Ostapenko vs Sabalenka Prediction 15 May 2024

Broadcast
Stats
Compositions
Standings
Grid
H2H
Last Results
Odds
Map Pool
Timeline
Trends
Prediction
Results
Comments

Jelena Ostapenko

Aryna Sabalenka

Match Preview

Is there a clear favorite in the quarter-final clash of the Rome competitions between Jelena Ostapenko and Aryna Sabalenka? Sportbooks believe there is. However, we, in turn, will not jump to conclusions without a detailed examination of all available data.

Ostapenko is gaining momentum during the clay season, clearly planning to reach peak condition by the start of Roland Garros. Elena won her only major so far precisely in Paris. Although it's too early to talk about achieving such impressive results now. For instance, yesterday, the Latvian spent nearly three hours dealing with Rebecca Sramkova, not playing her best in service games (6 breaks). Overall, this season the athlete has won two trophies (Linz and Adelaide), which led to a deserved return to the top ten of the world rankings.

Sabalenka continues to battle with Iga Swiatek for the title of the main dominating figure of the tour, which forces her to keep in shape despite accumulating fatigue. At the recent Masters in Madrid, Aryna expended a lot of energy (top-2), but still has "powder in her powder keg". Last evening, the representative from Belarus overcame Elina Svitolina in exhausting battles, managing to save a match point in the decisive tiebreak. One day off will surely help the tennis player to recover at least partially. Therefore, she has a good chance to stay in the title race until the very end.

Personal meetings of the opponents

🎾Read the prediction for Jelena Ostapenko - Aryna Sabalenka to learn more about the match. Jelena Ostapenko and Aryna Sabalenka have contested 2 matches throughout their careers. Jelena Ostapenko has won 0 matches, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 2.

📈The most recent match was UAE Dubai which took place on 22 February 2023, in which Aryna Sabalenka triumphed, and the results were as follows: 1:2 (6:2; 1:6; 1:6).

📊Examining the average number of sets and games played in a match and the number of victories for these players will also be essential. Thus, the quantity of sets is 2.5, the number of games is 18.5. Player Jelena Ostapenko wins 0.5 sets and 5.5 games. In contrast, Aryna Sabalenka has a lead of 1 sets and 13 games.

Jelena Ostapenko: player overview

🎾The previous 10 matches for this participant ended in 6 victories and 4.In the first set, he won 6 times while 4 times, his opponent emerged victorious.

📈Over the same 10 matches, an average score of 21.5 was achieved. 10.8 was the average number of games won in a match and 4.8 was the number of wins in the first game.

📊Also, make sure to consider the number of wins and losses with a score of 2-0 and 2-1 over the past 10 matches.

The number of winning matches:

2-0 - 4 matches with a win percentage of 66.7%.
2-1 - 2 wins with 33.3% as a win percentage.

The number of lost matches:

2-0 - 3 matches with a lost percentage of 75%.
2-1 - 1 matches with a lost percentage of 25%.

🎾The player's statistics for 365 days:

Over the past 365 days, the player played 63 matches. The number of wins was 44 while the number of losses amounted to 19. The percentage of wins is 69.8%. In the first set, they managed to win 38 times but lost 25 times and the percentage of wins is 60.3%.

📈The amount of games played over the past 63 matches is 23.3. Winning an average of 12.7 games and 4.9 in the first game.

📊An interesting statistic is the amount of 2-0 and 2-1 triumphs and losses over the previous 365 days.

Amount of winning matches:

2-0 - 22 wins with a win percentage of 50%;
2-1 - 22 wins with percentage of 50%.

Amount of lost matches:

2-0 - 10 losses with 52.6% as a loss percentage;
2-1 - 9 losses with a loss percentage of 47.4%.

Aryna Sabalenka: player overview

Player statistics over the last 10 matches: 8 victories and 2 defeats. Over their last ten matches, they won the first set 5 times, but lost it 5 times.

In terms of games, statistics show 27.6 played over the past 10 matches with 15.2 in overall wins and 4.8 wins in the first game.

The amount of 2-0 and 2-1 victories and defeats across the past 10 matches:

The number of winning matches:

2-0 - 2 matches with a win percentage of 25%.
2-1 - 6 wins with 75% as a win percentage.

The number of lost matches:

2-0 - 0 matches with a lost percentage of 0%.
2-1 - 2 matches with a 100% lose percentage.

The player’s form over 365 days:

This player played 67 matches over the past 365 days. The stats show 51 wins, 16 losses and the win percentage is 76.1%. The wins in the first set is 49 times and lost it 18 times with a win percentage of 73.1%.

The number of games played over the past 67 matches is 21.1 games with 5.5 wins in the first game alone.

Number of winning matches:

2-0 - 37 wins with a win percentage of 72.5;
2-1 - 11 wins with percentage of 21.6%.

Amount of lost matches:

2-0 - 5 losses with 31.3% as a loss percentage;
2-1 - 10 losses with a percentage of 62.5%.

In other matches the score was other.

In this meeting, a significant preference should still be given to Sabalenka. The condition of Ostapenko does not inspire great confidence, and we believe that due to excessive wastefulness, she will once again be left with nothing. A victory for Aryna is the preferred option for the match.