Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 21 April 2024

Alaves is still solving the main task for the season in La Liga - to avoid relegation. Atletico, on the other hand, is fighting for a place in the Champions League next season. The favorite in this pair is obvious. However, the match in Vitoria at the “Mendizorrotza” stadium may turn out to be unpredictable.

Alaves has only one loss in the squad - Sedlar, but he has not played for a long time. Atletico has more problems. Vitolo and Lemar have been in the infirmary for a long time, and Depay, who has repeatedly come off the bench and saved the Madrid team, was recently sidelined.

Referee statistics. Jesus Gil Manzano is appointed for the match. Over a stretch of 15 matches, he averages 4.4 yellow cards and records 28 fouls. Taking his last 100 matches, the statistics on warnings are the same, but there are fewer fouls - 25.

In matches involving Alaves and Atletico, an average of 25 fouls is recorded, with the Madrid team often committing more fouls - 13.6 against 12.4. Not surprisingly, they also receive more yellow cards - 2.4 against 1.8. Considering the referee's statistics, one can expect about 25 fouls in the match. But Simeone's charges often break the rules. Therefore, the bet on fouls - Atletico Total over (11.5) at 1.65 seems quite justified.

The opponents meet regularly in La Liga, so they have enough matches to form some kind of trend.

For example, Alaves loses in 5 out of the last 6 head-to-head meetings of these teams in the La Liga tournament. This means that one can take advantage of the offer Atletico win at 2.01.

Alaves has won only one victory in the last three months. Moreover, matches involving them are not rich in goals. Only in one of them were more than two goals scored.

If we talk about corners, Alaves takes less than 5.5 corners in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches of these teams. Following the trend, one can bet on Corners - Alaves Total under (5.5) at 1.74.

Atletico was eliminated from the Champions League, although it was the favorite in the pairing with Borussia Dortmund. Now all efforts will be focused on La Liga, but it's hard to switch in a short time.

Nevertheless, Alaves concedes in 10 out of 11 last head-to-head encounters of these teams in the La Liga tournament. Therefore, Atletico should score. Recall, the bet Atletico Total goals Over (0.5) is valued at an odds of 1.26.

Atletico will be angry after the Champions League defeat. Simeone will try to motivate his guys, who will surely be more motivated than Alaves. Therefore, the optimal bet looks like Atletico win at 2.01.