27.04.24
19:00
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction 27 April 2024
Match Preview
The match between Aston Villa and Chelsea is one of the main highlights of Saturday's Premier League. It's highly undesirable for both teams to lose points. The visitors are still hoping to jump into the European competitions, while the hosts need to maintain the 4th spot to make some noise in the Champions League next season. There's no doubt that on April 27, the audience gathered at "Villa Park" in Birmingham will witness an intriguing spectacle.
Losses
The hosts will be without five players. Buendia and Mings have been injured since last summer, while Kamara, Ramsey, and Moreno have recent injuries. Dzanolo's appearance on the field is also in question. However, this list pales in comparison to the overcrowded infirmary of the Londoners. Fofana, James, Lavia, Nkunku, Ugochukwu, and Colwill have been out of action for a long time, and injuries to Gusto, Chilwell, Palmer, and Enzo are a new headache for Pochettino. Fortunately, these guys might recover in time for the match.
Head-to-head
It's impossible to determine a leader in the recent duels between the teams, as they periodically exchange victories. But an interesting trend can be noted in the total goals:The total of less than 3.5 goals has occurred in 8 out of the last 9 head-to-head matches of these teams in the Premier League.Betting that no more than three goals will be scored in the match is valued at 1.79.
Referee and fouls
The main referee of the match has been appointed Craig Pawson. In his last 10 games, he has shown fewer than 5 yellow cards. The average number of fouls over the last 10 matches is 23, and over the last 100 – 24.On average, matches involving Aston Villa record 23.3 fouls, with 11 being attributed to the “villans”. Chelsea's games see fewer violations – 21.4, and the “blues” themselves cross the line less often – 10.5 times. Not surprisingly, the hosts lead in yellow cards – 2.3 warnings against 2.1. Considering the statistics, you can bet on total yellow cards less (5.5) for 1.53.
Team reviews
Aston Villa extended the contract with Unai Emery, seeing him as their Ferguson. The team is close to entering the Champions League, and that's while playing on two fronts. “Villans” are the only representatives of the Premier League at the semi-final stage of European competitions.Aston Villa scores more than 1.5 goals at home in 5 consecutive matches.A promising bet on total goals by the host more (1.5) is valued at 1.73.
Chelsea, on the contrary, is contemplating firing Pochettino. The team can still break into European competitions, but it lacks stability severely. Losing 0-5 to Arsenal in the last round was painful. Therefore, in the match, the “blues” will come out angry and may take it out on “Villa”.Chelsea receives more than 10.5 fouls in 8 out of the last 9 head-to-head encounters of these teams in the Premier League. You can bet on total violations by the guests more (10.5) for 1.7.
Editorial prediction
The best option for betting on the upcoming match seems to us total goals less (3.5) for 1.79.
*below on the page you will find detailed statistics of the teams playing and trends on many other markets
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
📊In this matchup, let's immediately focus on the statistics. The last official match between the clubs took place on 07 February 2024 at the Aston Villa team's field and ended with a score of 1:3.
⚽In total, the sides have played 13, and the numbers are as follows:
- 3 for today's home team;
- 8 for the guests;
- 2 ended in a draw;
- The Aston Villa team scored 11 goals against the opponent;
- For the Chelsea team, this number is 21 today;
- The average total goals in head-to-head matches is 2.5.
Betting Tips: Aston Villa - Chelsea
Results predictions
Single series
Chelsea has not lost in 8 of the last 9 Premier League games.
Chelsea will not lose
-128
Over/Under predictions
Sure things and H2H series
Aston Villa has scored in 24 of the last 25 home games.
Aston Villa has scored in each of their last 9 games.
Chelsea has conceded in each of their last 13 Premier League away games.
Chelsea has conceded in 10 of the last 11 Premier League games.
Aston Villa Total goals Over(0.5)
-833
Aston Villa has conceded in 8 of the last 9 Premier League home games.
Chelsea has scored in 7 of the last 8 Premier League away games.
Chelsea has scored in 15 of the last 16 Premier League games.
Chelsea Total goals Over(0.5)
-400
There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 12 of the last 14 Aston Villa games against Chelsea.
Total goals Under(3.5)
-133
Latest results from Aston Villa
🏆During this Premier League season, Aston Villa has played 34 matches, achieving the following outcomes:
- 20 wins,
- 8 losses,
- 6 draws.
📈Aston Villa holds a solid position in the middle of the Premier League tournament table, displaying balanced results, with 59% of matches won and 24% lost.
📊The team's overall score for the season stands at 3.6 points, showcasing consistency by scoring an average of 2.1 goals per game and conceding 1.5 goals.
⚽Throughout the season, the team has scored 71 goals, with the highest efficiency observed in the 2 half, where 54% of all goals were scored.
- At home, Aston Villa averages 2.2 goals per game,
- In away matches, this figure stands at 1.6 goals.
🚧The team's defensive performance remains stable, with a total of 50 goals conceded. The greatest defensive challenges arise in the 2th half, where the team concedes 66% of goals.
- At home, Aston Villa concedes an average of 1.4 goals,
- In away games, this figure increases to 1.6 goals per game.
05.05.24
EPL1
:
0
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
L
02.05.24
Conference League2
:
4
Aston Villa
Olympiacos
L
27.04.24
EPL2
:
2
Aston Villa
Chelsea
D
No matches
Information is temporarily unavailable
Latest results from Chelsea
🏆During this Premier League season, Chelsea has played 32 matches, achieving the following outcomes:
- 13 wins,
- 11 losses,
- 8 draws.
📈Chelsea holds a solid position in the middle of the Premier League tournament table, displaying balanced results, with 41% of matches won and 34% lost.
📊The team's overall score for the season stands at 3.7 points, showcasing consistency by scoring an average of 1.9 goals per game and conceding 1.8 goals.
⚽Throughout the season, the team has scored 61 goals, with the highest efficiency observed in the 2 half, where 51% of all goals were scored.
- At home, Chelsea averages 2.2 goals per game,
- In away matches, this figure stands at 1.6 goals.
🚧The team's defensive performance remains stable, with a total of 57 goals conceded. The greatest defensive challenges arise in the 2th half, where the team concedes 65% of goals.
- At home, Chelsea concedes an average of 1.6 goals,
- In away games, this figure increases to 2 goals per game.
05.05.24
EPL5
:
0
Chelsea
West Ham United
W
02.05.24
EPL2
:
0
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
W
27.04.24
EPL2
:
2
Aston Villa
Chelsea
D
23.04.24
EPL5
:
0
Arsenal
Chelsea
L
No matches
Information is temporarily unavailable
Odds
Odds
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Comparison of Teams Stats
10 matches
3 - Wins
3 - Draws
4 - Loses
Wins - 5
Draws - 3
Loses - 2
10 matches
Scored - 18
Conceded - 19
-1
+9
26 - Scored
17 - Conceded
3
Wins5
3
Draws3
4
Loses2
Goal difference
18
Scored26
19
Conceded17
3.7
Match goals average4.3
1.8
Goals scored per match on average2.6
1.9
Goals conceded per match on average1.7
7
Both teams scored5
52'
Minutes / Goal scored35'
Aston Villa Chelsea Prediction
✅Considering the opinions of bookmakers, namely the odds for the home team - 'Aston Villa' (), and the away team - 'Chelsea' (), as well as relying on our analytics, we can conclude that the bet 'Total goals Under(3.5)' seems the most attractive for this match. Our choice is backed by hard facts and statistics, which, by the way, you can use yourself to make your own prediction below.
Bet on Match Aston Villa vs Chelsea
Bet: Total goals Under(3.5)
Odds: -127
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