Genoa vs Cagliari Prediction 29 April 2024

Genoa will face Cagliari in the final match of the 34th round of the Italian Serie A. Only one line separates the opponents in the table, but their situations are different. The hosts are at a safe distance from the relegation zone, whereas the guests are only four points away. The "Sardinians" need a victory, but obtaining it at "Luigi Ferraris" in Genoa will not be easy.

Losses

Genoa will be without four players who have been injured for quite some time – these are Matturro, Malinovskyi, Messias, and Bani. However, only the absence of the latter pair will significantly affect the team's performance.

Cagliari has been forced to do without captain Pavoletti since February. There are no more injuries, but due to an accumulation of yellow cards, Luvumbu will miss the upcoming match. These are two serious losses in the attacking line.

Head-to-Head 

The head-to-head between the opponents tend to be low-scoring. Only in 3 out of the last 10 matches was the over total exceeded, which means that playing under (2.5) at 1.67 is promising.

If we set aside goal-scoring, we can see Genoa's dominance in home matches. The "Griffins" have not lost to Cagliari at home in 7 consecutive Serie A matches. The bet on this outcome is valued at 1.33.

Referee and Fouls

The order on the field will be maintained by a team of referees led by Federico Dionisi, who cannot be considered among the strictest officials. On average for the season, he shows just 3.9 yellow cards per match. The Italian issued fewer than 4 warnings in 3 out of his last 4 games – quite modest. The average number of fouls in the last 10 matches under him is 28.

Genoa is an average team in the championship not only in terms of results but also in terms of fouls and yellow cards. The team averages 11.94 infractions per game, for which they receive 2.18 warnings – nothing remarkable.

Cagliari fouls more often (averaging 12.42 times), but no particular roughness in the "Sardinians'" actions is usually noted. Therefore, this team is an example to follow in terms of yellow cards with an average of 1.91. Statistics suggest that we will not see a pile of "mustards." Total yellow cards under (4.5) at 1.68 – is a bet definitely worth considering.

Team Overviews

Gaining three points is quite a rare occurrence for Genoa. However, the hosts make up for this with frequent draws. In most matches, they lose possession, so they take few corners. With an average value of 3.94, they are second to last in the league for this indicator. The "Griffins" have taken under 5.5 corners in 5 consecutive matches. You can bet on this at 1.79.

Lately, Cagliari has become more active and has not only been steadily gaining points but also regularly scoring, thanks to which they have moved out of the relegation zone. Claudio Ranieri clearly does not want to end his coaching career with relegation to Serie B. His charges have scored in 9 out of the last 10 matches, and a bet on their goal in the upcoming meeting is valued at 1.52.

Editorial Prediction

Genoa, despite its league position, is one of the worst teams in the league in terms of expected goals, and Cagliari is not far behind. High totals in matches involving these teams are a rarity. In Genoa, they have not scored more than two goals in 5 meetings already. All these facts indicate that the best option for placing a bet is total goals under (2.5) at 1.67.

*detailed statistics of the playing teams and trends for many other markets await you further down the page