Bayern vs Real Madrid Prediction 30 April 2024

In the semi-finals, we are expecting a real Champions League classic – Bayern will play against Real Madrid. The first match will take place on April 30 at the "Allianz Arena" in Munich, therefore the German team is considered the favorite. However, sportbooks are not confident in the hosts' victory, as the odds for Madrid's win are only slightly higher.

Losses

Bayern has a significant list of absentees. Tuchel hadn't counted on Bua and Sarr, who have been injured for a long time and are not main players, but losing Coman is serious. Kingsley is an important attacking player. The participation of Laimer and de Ligt in the match is questionable – they are also guys from the main squad. There were health problems with Sane, Gnabry, and Musiala, but the main Munich creators should recover for the game.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, approached the decisive part of the season almost fully armed. Only Alaba and Courtois remain in the infirmary, who are painlessly replaced by other players. A much more important loss is Dani Carvajal. The vice-captain will miss the match in Munich due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

Head-to-head 

The confrontations between Bayern and Real Madrid in the Champions League are a feast for football fans. Matches are almost always emotional and rich in goals. In 9 out of the last 10 head-to-head of the teams in the main European cup, the total was over 2.5. You can bet on this for 1.74.

If you are more interested in outcomes, then the optimal option for betting is Real Madrid not to lose for 1.61. The thing is that "Los Blancos" turned out to be stronger in 6 out of the last 7 duels of the teams within the Champions League.

Referee and fouls

The main referee of the match is Clement Turpin. He is known for not being generous with cards. In the current Champions League draw, the Frenchman officiated 4 matches and only in one of them issued more than 4 warnings. The average total of "mustards" over this period is 3.5, and fouls – 26.

In the overwhelming majority of Champions League matches this season, Bayern played from a position of strength, so it is quite logical that Munich did not commit many fouls. The average indicator for violations is only 10.2 per game, and for yellow cards – 1.2.

Real commits even fewer fouls – 9.9 times per match. However, "Los Blancos" foul more harshly and disrupt dangerous attacks by opponents more often, so they lead Munich in terms of yellow cards with an average indicator of 1.9.

In the return game, on emotions, teams can clash, but in the first one – it's unlikely. Considering Turpin's frugality, you can confidently bet on total yellow cards less (5) for 1.42.

Corners

Real and Bayern are among the top five leaders of the season in the Champions League in terms of earned corners. Munich averages 5.5 corners per match, and Madrid even more – 6. The total over 9.5 corners played in 5 consecutive away matches of Real in the Champions League. You can load up on this for a coefficient of 1.84.

Team reviews

Bayern is having its worst season in many years. In Germany, everything that could be lost has been lost, however, winning the Champions League would forgive them for failures on the domestic front. By leaving Arsenal out of the tournament, Thomas Tuchel's team showed that it should be taken seriously. Due to the colossal individual skill of the players, Munich poses a threat to any opponent.
Bayern scored more than 1.5 goals in 5 out of their last 6 matches. On that the hosts will score at least twice, they offer a coefficient of 2.07.

Real Madrid has almost guaranteed itself the title in La Liga and can now fully concentrate on their beloved Champions League. In the quarter-finals, "Los Blancos" dealt with the main favorite of the tournament in the face of Man City. Yes, in the return match, Ancelotti's wards had a very hard time, but they stood their ground and surpassed the favorite in a penalty shootout series. Everything could have turned out differently if not for an early goal.
Madrid scores in the first half in 7 out of their last 8 matches – a powerful trend. You can bet on a goal by the guests in the first half for 1.98.

Editorial prediction

For Bayern, success in the Champions League is the last chance to save the season. But Real Madrid is hardly concerned about that. Madrid will likely play a secondary role counting on their deadly counterattacks, which Munich has great difficulty neutralizing. And with positional play, Tuchel's team is not all smooth either, so we believe that the guests have more keys to victory. Considering Real Madrid's domination over Bayern in the last decade, betting that "Los Blancos" will not lose for 1.61, is the best choice.

*below on the page you will find detailed statistics of the playing teams and trends on many other markets